BlueFirePicks: NFL Week 2 Schedule, Fantasy Football Buy Low Sell High, Best Bets
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As we dive into Week 2 of the NFL season, let's take a look at the Schedule, some Fantasy Football Buy-Low & Sell-High candidates, and 3 of my best bets I think are worth a look:
Week 2 Schedule:
Matchup
|
Date
|
Time (ET)
|
Point Spread
|
Over / Under
|
---|---|---|---|---|
MIA vs. BUF
|
Sep 12, 2024
|
8:15 PM
|
MIA -2.5
|
48.5
|
BAL vs. LV
|
Sep 15, 2024
|
1:00 PM
|
BAL -9
|
41.5
|
CAR vs. LAC
|
Sep 15, 2024
|
1:00 PM
|
LAC -6.5
|
39
|
DAL vs. NO
|
Sep 15, 2024
|
1:00 PM
|
DAL -6
|
46.5
|
DET vs. TB
|
Sep 15, 2024
|
1:00 PM
|
DET -7
|
51
|
IND vs. GB
|
Sep 15, 2024
|
1:00 PM
|
IND -3
|
41
|
JAX vs. CLE
|
Sep 15, 2024
|
1:00 PM
|
JAX -3
|
41
|
SF vs. MIN
|
Sep 15, 2024
|
1:00 PM
|
SF -6
|
45.5
|
NE vs. SEA
|
Sep 15, 2024
|
1:00 PM
|
SEA -3.5
|
38.5
|
NYJ vs. TEN
|
Sep 15, 2024
|
1:00 PM
|
NYJ -3.5
|
40.5
|
WAS vs. NYG
|
Sep 15, 2024
|
1:00 PM
|
WAS -2
|
43
|
LAR vs. ARI
|
Sep 15, 2024
|
4:05 PM
|
ARI -1
|
48.5
|
PIT vs. DEN
|
Sep 15, 2024
|
4:25 PM
|
PIT -3
|
36.5
|
KC vs. CIN
|
Sep 15, 2024
|
4:25 PM
|
KC -5.5
|
47.5
|
HOU vs. CHI
|
Sep 15, 2024
|
8:20 PM
|
HOU -6
|
45.5
|
PHI vs. ATL
|
Sep 16, 2024
|
8:15 PM
|
PHI -6.5
|
47
|
Who are my Top 5 "Buy-Low"/"Sell-High" guys after Week 1 Fantasy Football?
Buy-Low Candidates:
1. Mark Andrews - Despite a slow start, Andrews remains a top-tier tight end. His performance is expected to improve, especially as the Ravens' offense finds its rhythm. His value might be at a temporary low due to the Week 1 overshadowing performance of Isaiah Likely, but he looked healthy and good to me!
2. Joe Burrow - With the Bengals starting slow historically and key receivers like Tee Higgins missing Week 1, Burrow's value might be down. However, his track record suggests he's a prime candidate for a bounce-back. Expect Chase to work his way back to full-speed and help Burrow get back in to his offensive groove.
3. Jaxon Smith-Njigba - After a disappointing rookie season, his value might be low. However, his role in the offense is expected to grow, making him a good long-term investment if you can buy him at a discount. He definitely should be pushing Lockett for that WR2 spot in the offense, go get him after a slow Game 1.
4. Marvin Harrison Jr. - If his Week 1 performance has lowered his stock, this could be an opportunity. His talent and potential role in the offense make him a buy-low candidate, especially if there's panic selling due to an initial slow start. Kyler's "it's not my job to get him the ball" talk is bologna. Upper management and the coaching staff will reiterate the need to force feed their 1st round pick.
5. Drake London - Despite high snap counts, his production wasn't there in Week 1. If owners are selling low due to this, his potential as the Falcons' primary receiver makes him a buy. There was hype coming into this season that both he and Pitts would take-off this year, and yet another slow start has put a discount on his value.
Sell-High Candidates:
1. Isaiah Likely - After an explosive Week 1, his value might be at its peak. While he could continue to produce, selling him now might net you a higher return than waiting for regression or a return to a more balanced role with Mark Andrews.
2. Xavier Worthy - His impressive debut might have inflated his value, especially in PPR leagues due to his receiving and return yards. However, his consistency might not match his Week 1 performance, making this a good time to sell.
3. Rachaad White - If his Week 1 performance has owners believing in a breakout, this might be the time to sell. The emergence of other backs in Tampa Bay's backfield could limit his ceiling as Bucky looked good in limited time. The receptions were a nice touch this past week, but expect Irving to eventually cut in to his work load.
4. Derek Carr - A 142.5 rating after Week 1. However, his long-term fantasy value might not sustain that level, making him a good sell-high candidate for a more consistent quarterback. Carolina is as low as low gets, do not...I repeat do not expect this to be the norm.
5. Jerome Ford - Despite a decent fantasy output, if it was due to a blowout game script, his regular performance might not match that. Selling him after a good game could fetch a higher value than waiting for more data. Plus, Watson is a huge red flag and may not be capable of running an offense. He was that bad.
When making these trades, consider the context of your league (PPR, non-PPR, etc.), the depth of your roster, and the needs of other teams. Remember, while these suggestions are based on their Week 1 performance, you can usually attract potential buyers/sellers after overreactions. The sooner the better!
What are my Top 3 Best Bets of the Week?
When it comes to betting on NFL games, it's essential to do your research and make informed decisions. To help you out, we've compiled the top 3 best bets of the week, complete with detailed write-ups and analysis [via @BlueFirePicks on X] :
1. Cincinnati Bengals +5.5 at Kansas City Chiefs
Reasoning:
Trend Analysis: The trend where road teams off a non-cover against teams that covered in Week 1 have gone 54-35-2 ATS (60.7%) provides a strong foundation for this pick. The Bengals, despite an embarrassing start (that crushed every survivor pool out there!), have over the last couple years performed well against the spread against the Chiefs, especially with Joe Burrow at the helm.
Bounce Back Spot: Cincinnati's loss in Week 1 should serve as motivation. Teams often bounce back in such scenarios, particularly when the spread suggests a close game under a TD.
Injuries and Player Availability: Assuming key players like Ja'Marr Chase or Tee Higgins are available, the Bengals' offense can keep up with Kansas City's, making the +5.5 points valuable.
Public Sentiment: If there's heavy betting on the Chiefs due to their performance and home advantage, this could inflate the spread, making the Bengals an attractive underdog pick.
2. Buffalo Bills at Miami Dolphins - Over 48.5 Points
Reasoning:
Historical Data: Both teams have been involved in high-scoring affairs, especially in recent head-to-head matchups. The trend of overs hitting in games involving these teams supports this bet.
Offensive Firepower: Both teams boast dynamic offenses. Josh Allen's mobility and passing, combined with Tua Tagovailoa's accuracy, suggest a game where both teams will score. Tyreek and Waddle will keep the Bills hands full despite some injured guys in the backfield.
Defensive Considerations: While both defenses are capable, the offensive talents might outshine them, especially in a game with significant playoff implications early in the season.
Public and Betting Trends: Looks like the total has come down a little, maybe because of injuries, maybe the light rain forecast, but I don't think it affects much and thus like the Over up to 50.5.
3. Los Angeles Rams at Arizona Cardinals - Rams +1
Reasoning:
Trend Analysis: Similar to #1, the trend favoring road teams off a non-cover, especially when the opponent also didn't cover, supports betting on the Rams. This scenario has shown a favorable ATS record, indicating a potential bounce-back game for Los Angeles.
Injury Considerations: Puka is going to be out for a few weeks now. Something to keep in mind. Will Kupp have 20+ targets again? Will McVay have some tricks up his sleeve to compensate? It's a big hit, but I think they have other pieces capable of stepping up.
Historical Dominance: The Rams have historically dominated the Cardinals, especially under Sean McVay. This psychological edge could play into their performance, suggesting they might cover the small spread.
Offensive vs. Defensive Matchup: The Cardinals' defense showed vulnerability in Week 1, which could be exploited by the Rams' passing game, especially if Stafford finds his rhythm early. Conversely, the Rams' defense, while not perfect, might be better equipped to handle Kyler Murray's mobility and the Cardinals' offensive schemes. Will Kyler get MHJ involved?
Public Sentiment and Betting Trends: If there's a lean towards the Cardinals due to home advantage or "strong" performance on the road vs. the Bills in Week 1, this might inflate the spread, making the Rams an attractive bet against the spread. Spread just feels fishy, doesn't it?!
Where Can You Find More Picks and Updates?
For more expert picks and up-to-date analysis on NFL Week 2 and beyond, be sure to follow @BlueFirePicks on X, formerly known as Twitter. Stay ahead of the game and make informed decisions when placing your bets. Don't miss out on valuable insights that could give you the winning edge.